Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gionta wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 38.2% vs Smith 51.6% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 53.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 60.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Gionta
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gionta
Smith
Last 6: Gionta 3-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Gionta
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (335)
52.6% (635)
-17.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
45.5% (44)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
48.1% (52)
-17.3%
On power play, Gionta has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Gionta shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Gionta
Smith
Home
34.9% (186)
53.4% (371)
Away
35.3% (204)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Gionta
Smith
P1
32.5%
50.2%
P2
29.7%
52.2%
P3
42.5%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 18, 2013 | OT | 03:42 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Zack Smith |