Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gionta wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.3% vs Smith 52.5% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gionta 69.2%
Defensive zone
Gionta 84.9%
Neutral zone
Gionta 79.8%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Gionta
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Gionta
Smith
Last 10: Gionta 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gionta
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Gionta
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
5
Gionta
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (526)
53.0% (1,048)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.4% (47)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (53)
50.0% (196)
-4.7%
On even strength, Smith has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Gionta is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Gionta shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Gionta
Smith
Home
46.3% (300)
53.9% (629)
Away
35.2% (281)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Gionta
Smith
P1
41.8%
50.4%
P2
42.0%
51.8%
P3
38.7%
56.4%
OT
60.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Zack Smith |