Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Weiss 53.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Weiss leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 72.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Stepan
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Stepan
Weiss
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Weiss
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
6
Stepan
Weiss
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
2
Stepan
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
53.3% (1,038)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
55.6% (268)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
45.4% (119)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Weiss is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Stepan
Weiss
Home
45.6% (463)
55.2% (764)
Away
43.3% (404)
50.9% (705)
By Period
Stepan
Weiss
P1
50.2%
55.7%
P2
39.4%
52.3%
P3
45.7%
53.0%
OT
38.9%
35.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | OT | 03:04 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |