Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Weiss 50.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 65.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 66.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 60.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Spezza
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Spezza
Weiss
Last 9: Spezza 7-2 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Weiss
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Spezza
Weiss
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Weiss
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
52.8% (216)
+1.7%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
48.8% (41)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
36.8% (19)
+16.5%
On power play, Spezza has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Spezza is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Spezza shoots right. Weiss is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Spezza
Weiss
Home
62.2% (45)
53.3% (122)
Away
54.1% (74)
49.4% (154)
By Period
Spezza
Weiss
P1
58.7%
43.8%
P2
64.1%
53.8%
P3
46.9%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |