Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Weiss 53.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 61.3%
Defensive zone
Weiss 69.9%
Neutral zone
Weiss 68.3%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Toews
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Toews
Weiss
Last 7: Toews 2-5 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
2
Toews
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
2
3
Toews
Weiss
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
53.3% (942)
+2.3%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
56.1% (212)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
55.9% (93)
+1.5%
On power play, Toews has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Toews shoots left. Weiss is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Toews
Weiss
Home
59.8% (858)
55.1% (680)
Away
53.3% (795)
52.4% (599)
By Period
Toews
Weiss
P1
58.7%
53.1%
P2
55.1%
57.4%
P3
56.5%
51.1%
OT
54.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |