Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weiss 53.0% vs Connolly 47.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Weiss leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 78.2%
Defensive zone
Weiss 71.6%
Neutral zone
Weiss 77.9%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Weiss
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Weiss
Connolly
Last 10: Weiss 5-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
3
Weiss
Connolly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
5
0
Weiss
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Weiss
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weiss
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (2,521)
47.4% (1,307)
+5.6%
Power Play
54.6% (560)
50.2% (251)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (245)
41.9% (186)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Weiss is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Weiss shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Weiss
Connolly
Home
54.7% (1,745)
48.5% (870)
Away
51.3% (1,657)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Weiss
Connolly
P1
53.5%
47.4%
P2
54.2%
47.7%
P3
52.2%
47.0%
OT
44.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |