Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Weiss wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weiss 53.6% vs Connolly 46.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 80.5%
Defensive zone
Weiss 89.1%
Neutral zone
Weiss 87.0%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Weiss
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Weiss
Connolly
Last 7: Weiss 6-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Weiss
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
4
0
Weiss
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
0
Weiss
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weiss
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (942)
47.0% (702)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.1% (212)
49.7% (165)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (93)
29.9% (97)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Weiss is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Weiss shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Weiss
Connolly
Home
55.1% (680)
46.7% (512)
Away
52.4% (599)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Weiss
Connolly
P1
53.1%
46.5%
P2
57.4%
47.5%
P3
51.1%
44.0%
OT
57.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |