Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Weiss wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weiss 50.8% vs Bozak 52.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 68.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 59.9%
Neutral zone
Weiss 55.2%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Weiss
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Weiss
Bozak
Last 10: Weiss 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
2
1
Weiss
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Weiss
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Weiss
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weiss
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (216)
52.8% (697)
+0.0%
Power Play
48.8% (41)
50.9% (171)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
53.3% (195)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Weiss is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Weiss shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Weiss
Bozak
Home
53.3% (122)
52.1% (530)
Away
49.4% (154)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Weiss
Bozak
P1
43.8%
54.1%
P2
53.8%
50.6%
P3
55.6%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
51.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |