Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weiss 51.2% vs Smith 52.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 75.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 68.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.5%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Weiss
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Weiss
Smith
Last 9: Weiss 3-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Weiss
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Weiss
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weiss
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (308)
53.0% (1,048)
-0.7%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
57.4% (47)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
50.0% (196)
+7.1%
On power play, Smith has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Weiss is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Weiss shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Weiss
Smith
Home
51.7% (172)
53.9% (629)
Away
51.4% (185)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Weiss
Smith
P1
53.2%
50.4%
P2
53.2%
51.8%
P3
50.0%
56.4%
OT
16.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
51.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |