Scouting Report
Steve Downie holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 45.8% vs Downie 47.5% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Holloway 50.4%
Defensive zone
Downie 51.8%
Neutral zone
Holloway 51.7%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Holloway
Downie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (236)
48.1% (131)
-2.8%
Power Play
37.1% (35)
43.7% (71)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Holloway has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Holloway is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Holloway shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Holloway
Downie
Home
48.9% (131)
49.5% (93)
Away
40.1% (142)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Holloway
Downie
P1
41.9%
41.8%
P2
39.7%
38.6%
P3
51.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.3%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%