Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.6% vs Ott 54.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 56.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 65.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Cizikas
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Ott
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Cizikas
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Cizikas
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Cizikas
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (252)
54.8% (305)
-2.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.8% (95)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (21)
57.0% (135)
-4.6%
On power play, Ott has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Cizikas shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Ott
Home
57.7% (149)
58.7% (271)
Away
45.7% (127)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Cizikas
Ott
P1
50.6%
60.4%
P2
51.6%
54.0%
P3
53.5%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Steve Ott |