Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Ott 55.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 76.3%
Defensive zone
Fraser 79.9%
Neutral zone
Fraser 78.6%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Fraser
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Fraser
Ott
Last 6: Fraser 1-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Fraser
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Fraser
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
56.9% (705)
-8.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
55.8% (154)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
48.3% (145)
-9.8%
On power play, Ott has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Fraser
Ott
Home
49.7% (189)
54.9% (526)
Away
44.8% (181)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Fraser
Ott
P1
44.6%
55.4%
P2
48.1%
54.0%
P3
49.1%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |