Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Christensen wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 52.0% vs Ott 55.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 50.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 73.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 63.1%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Christensen
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Christensen
Ott
Last 5: Christensen 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Christensen
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (255)
56.9% (705)
-6.3%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
55.8% (154)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
48.3% (145)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Christensen is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Christensen shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Christensen
Ott
Home
57.8% (173)
54.9% (526)
Away
45.7% (129)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Christensen
Ott
P1
49.6%
55.4%
P2
54.2%
54.0%
P3
53.7%
56.1%
OT
75.0%
73.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Steve Ott |