Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Ott 55.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 69.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tavares
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
25
(40 meetings)
15
25
Tavares
Ott
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
4
Tavares
Ott
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
15
Tavares
Ott
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
3
6
Tavares
Ott
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
57.2% (2,802)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.4% (567)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
49.9% (853)
+0.7%
On even strength, Ott has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Tavares
Ott
Home
56.1% (10,503)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Tavares
Ott
P1
55.0%
56.7%
P2
54.1%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
55.7%
OT
55.9%
60.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | OT | 00:52 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 26, 2013 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |