Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.0%). Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 52.5% vs Ott 53.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 76.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 90.4%
Neutral zone
Ott 56.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Williams
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Williams
Ott
Last 5: Williams 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
2
0
Williams
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Williams
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (40)
58.2% (208)
-13.2%
Power Play
59.2% (76)
50.0% (4)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.5% (66)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Williams is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Williams shoots right. Ott is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Williams
Ott
Home
53.2% (62)
53.5% (101)
Away
56.4% (55)
55.9% (177)
By Period
Williams
Ott
P1
51.9%
57.0%
P2
56.0%
57.7%
P3
55.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
68.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
54.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |