Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Ott 53.5% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 84.0%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 66.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 77.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Scheifele
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Scheifele
Ott
Last 5: Scheifele 1-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
4
Scheifele
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
55.6% (583)
-14.4%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
57.0% (128)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
47.1% (206)
+2.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Scheifele is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Scheifele shoots right. Ott is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Ott
Home
45.9% (394)
54.1% (512)
Away
38.4% (391)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Scheifele
Ott
P1
44.7%
53.3%
P2
42.2%
52.8%
P3
39.7%
56.1%
OT
36.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |