Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 47.2% vs Ott 54.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 87.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 56.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 68.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Zibanejad
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Ott
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
4
Zibanejad
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (285)
54.8% (305)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
56.8% (95)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
57.0% (135)
-57.0%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Zibanejad shoots right. Ott is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Ott
Home
45.4% (163)
58.7% (271)
Away
47.2% (180)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Zibanejad
Ott
P1
43.7%
60.4%
P2
48.6%
54.0%
P3
46.9%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |