Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 64.9%
Defensive zone
Ott 79.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 64.9%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Spaling
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Spaling
Ott
Last 10: Spaling 6-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
4
Spaling
Ott
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
4
Spaling
Ott
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
1
Spaling
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.7%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
55.4% (567)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
49.9% (853)
-1.9%
On power play, Ott has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Spaling
Ott
Home
51.9% (1,437)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Spaling
Ott
P1
49.8%
56.7%
P2
48.3%
53.9%
P3
52.0%
55.7%
OT
40.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |