Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.6%). Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Peverley wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 55.4% vs Ott 56.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 72.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 81.5%
Neutral zone
Peverley 56.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Peverley
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Peverley
Ott
Last 5: Peverley 5-0 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
0
Peverley
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
3
0
Peverley
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (800)
58.8% (720)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.8% (219)
52.5% (179)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
58.4% (149)
53.2% (235)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Peverley is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (820).
Peverley shoots right. Ott is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Peverley
Ott
Home
57.3% (590)
59.3% (562)
Away
54.4% (586)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Peverley
Ott
P1
56.0%
57.3%
P2
58.1%
54.1%
P3
54.0%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |