Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rakell wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 47.1% vs Ott 54.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 67.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 91.2%
Neutral zone
Ott 77.7%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Rakell
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rakell
Ott
Last 6: Rakell 4-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
4
0
Rakell
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Rakell
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Rakell
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (608)
59.6% (228)
-13.4%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
71.4% (7)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
38.8% (49)
-5.5%
On power play, Ott has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Rakell is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Rakell shoots right. Ott is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Rakell
Ott
Home
49.3% (335)
61.9% (126)
Away
43.9% (330)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Rakell
Ott
P1
46.8%
65.4%
P2
45.0%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |