Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Ott 55.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 57.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 51.5%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Johnson
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Johnson
Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
57.2% (2,802)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
55.4% (567)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
49.9% (853)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Johnson is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Johnson shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Johnson
Ott
Home
69.8% (126)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
58.6% (186)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Johnson
Ott
P1
63.0%
56.7%
P2
61.8%
53.9%
P3
66.0%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
65.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Steve Ott |