Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 51.6% vs Ott 56.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 74.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 86.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 68.5%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
O'Reilly
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
O'Reilly
Ott
Last 10: O'Reilly 8-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
3
O'Reilly
Ott
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
2
O'Reilly
Ott
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
58.8% (720)
-5.4%
Power Play
55.6% (54)
52.5% (179)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (196)
53.2% (235)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
O'Reilly shoots left. Ott is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Ott
Home
53.5% (533)
59.3% (562)
Away
50.0% (492)
54.0% (576)
By Period
O'Reilly
Ott
P1
50.8%
57.3%
P2
52.4%
54.1%
P3
51.6%
58.4%
OT
66.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |