Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Horcoff wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 48.5% vs Ott 56.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 91.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 83.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 81.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Horcoff
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Horcoff
Ott
Last 10: Horcoff 2-8 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horcoff
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
9
Horcoff
Ott
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Horcoff
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (581)
58.8% (720)
-7.0%
Power Play
43.2% (125)
52.5% (179)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (84)
53.2% (235)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Horcoff shoots left. Ott is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Ott
Home
49.2% (384)
59.3% (562)
Away
47.6% (429)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Horcoff
Ott
P1
45.8%
57.3%
P2
48.4%
54.1%
P3
51.0%
58.4%
OT
44.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Steve Ott |