Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ott wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Connolly 47.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 80.1%
Defensive zone
Ott 96.1%
Neutral zone
Ott 93.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Ott
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Ott
Connolly
Last 10: Ott 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
1
Ott
Connolly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
0
Ott
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
5
3
Ott
Connolly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
47.4% (1,307)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
50.2% (251)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
41.9% (186)
+8.0%
On even strength, Ott has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Ott shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Ott
Connolly
Home
56.8% (2,130)
48.5% (870)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Ott
Connolly
P1
56.7%
47.4%
P2
53.9%
47.7%
P3
55.7%
47.0%
OT
60.8%
37.8%
Final 5 min
56.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:03 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |