Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.0% vs Connolly 48.9% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 75.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 91.0%
Neutral zone
Ott 92.6%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Ott
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Ott
Connolly
Last 10: Ott 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
0
Ott
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
0
Ott
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
5
3
Ott
Connolly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (705)
47.8% (605)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.8% (154)
51.2% (86)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (145)
55.1% (89)
-6.8%
On even strength, Ott has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Ott is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Ott shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Ott
Connolly
Home
54.9% (526)
51.1% (358)
Away
56.1% (485)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Ott
Connolly
P1
55.4%
48.7%
P2
54.0%
48.1%
P3
56.1%
50.4%
OT
73.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:03 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |