Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Ott wins 61.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 56.1% vs Lewis 41.4% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 82.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 97.4%
Neutral zone
Ott 89.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Ott
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Ott
Lewis
Last 8: Ott 7-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
5
1
Ott
Lewis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (720)
39.6% (351)
+19.2%
Power Play
52.5% (179)
60.0% (5)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (235)
33.3% (27)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Ott is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Ott shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Ott
Lewis
Home
59.3% (562)
38.2% (178)
Away
54.0% (576)
40.1% (207)
By Period
Ott
Lewis
P1
57.3%
39.9%
P2
54.1%
40.1%
P3
58.4%
36.9%
OT
57.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |