Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Ott wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 30-11 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 82.5%
Neutral zone
Ott 67.5%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Ott
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
11
(41 meetings)
30
11
Ott
Bozak
Last 10: Ott 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
16
6
Ott
Bozak
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
10
4
Ott
Bozak
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
4
1
Ott
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
53.7% (9,596)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
48.0% (1,094)
+1.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Ott shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Ott
Bozak
Home
56.8% (2,130)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Ott
Bozak
P1
56.7%
53.2%
P2
53.9%
52.8%
P3
55.7%
54.5%
OT
60.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2014 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |