Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ott wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 53.5% vs Bozak 48.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 80.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 84.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 90.9%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Ott
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Ott
Bozak
Last 10: Ott 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
5
0
Ott
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
2
Ott
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (583)
48.8% (1,036)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.0% (128)
53.8% (225)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (206)
39.1% (138)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ott is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Ott shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Ott
Bozak
Home
54.1% (512)
50.8% (608)
Away
53.6% (405)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Ott
Bozak
P1
53.3%
48.0%
P2
52.8%
48.1%
P3
56.1%
49.8%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2014 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Steve Ott |