Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 53.5% vs Lecavalier 45.6% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 79.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 65.7%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 55.9%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Ott
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Ott
Lecavalier
Last 10: Ott 4-6 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
3
Ott
Lecavalier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
1
Ott
Lecavalier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
2
3
Ott
Lecavalier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (583)
42.5% (332)
+13.1%
Power Play
57.0% (128)
50.9% (112)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (206)
50.0% (4)
-2.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Ott is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Ott shoots left. Lecavalier is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Ott
Lecavalier
Home
54.1% (512)
45.9% (255)
Away
53.6% (405)
43.0% (193)
By Period
Ott
Lecavalier
P1
53.3%
44.1%
P2
52.8%
44.4%
P3
56.1%
45.7%
OT
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |