Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kupari wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 53.7% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Kupari leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kupari 85.3%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kupari 70.3%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Kupari
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Kupari
Lorentz
Last 10: Kupari 7-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
3
1
Kupari
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
2
1
Kupari
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kupari
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (379)
48.3% (497)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
63.6% (11)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
38.5% (39)
+33.7%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Kupari shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Kupari
Lorentz
Home
55.5% (245)
50.4% (238)
Away
53.2% (158)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Kupari
Lorentz
P1
58.8%
49.1%
P2
47.8%
48.0%
P3
57.4%
47.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |