Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lorentz wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 48.6% vs Brent 50.7% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 55.1%
Defensive zone
Brent 55.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lorentz
Brent
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,118)
50.2% (1,234)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
58.2% (91)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (86)
51.7% (267)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Brent has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Lorentz is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Lorentz shoots left. Brent is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Brent
Home
50.8% (606)
51.6% (779)
Away
46.2% (624)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Lorentz
Brent
P1
53.0%
54.2%
P2
46.8%
49.3%
P3
46.1%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%