Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyes wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Stamkos 46.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 64.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Boyes
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyes
Stamkos
Last 5: Boyes 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Boyes
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
46.0% (767)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
50.0% (126)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.2% (26)
+3.8%
On power play, Stamkos has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Boyes is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Boyes shoots right. Stamkos is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Boyes
Stamkos
Home
45.7% (164)
49.7% (441)
Away
39.1% (156)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Boyes
Stamkos
P1
47.5%
43.7%
P2
39.5%
50.2%
P3
39.4%
45.1%
OT
100.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
32.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |