Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.9% vs Stamkos 49.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.4%
Defensive zone
Flynn 79.4%
Neutral zone
Flynn 66.4%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Flynn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Flynn
Stamkos
Last 6: Flynn 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Flynn
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Flynn
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Flynn
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (312)
49.0% (433)
-0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.3% (70)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
38.5% (26)
+4.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Flynn is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Flynn shoots right. Stamkos is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Flynn
Stamkos
Home
46.4% (168)
51.1% (327)
Away
48.0% (221)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Flynn
Stamkos
P1
43.3%
46.6%
P2
49.6%
51.5%
P3
49.2%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |