Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Little wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Stamkos 49.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Little leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.4%
Defensive zone
Little 58.8%
Neutral zone
Little 53.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Little
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
11
(34 meetings)
23
11
Little
Stamkos
Last 10: Little 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Little
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
4
Little
Stamkos
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
10
2
Little
Stamkos
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
48.1% (669)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
58.2% (110)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
50.0% (40)
+0.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Little is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Little shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Little
Stamkos
Home
51.4% (420)
52.0% (402)
Away
50.9% (422)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Little
Stamkos
P1
50.4%
46.3%
P2
49.3%
52.4%
P3
53.8%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 04:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 01:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Bryan Little |