Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thorburn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Stamkos 46.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.6%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 53.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 59.3%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Thorburn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thorburn
Stamkos
Last 5: Thorburn 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thorburn
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Thorburn
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
46.0% (767)
+7.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.0% (126)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
46.2% (26)
-3.9%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Thorburn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Thorburn shoots right. Stamkos is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Stamkos
Home
52.1% (119)
49.7% (441)
Away
47.7% (132)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Thorburn
Stamkos
P1
45.3%
43.7%
P2
53.8%
50.2%
P3
51.3%
45.1%
OT
20.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |