Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hodgson wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 70.5%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Hodgson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Hodgson
Stamkos
Last 10: Hodgson 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Hodgson
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Hodgson
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
48.1% (669)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
58.2% (110)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
50.0% (40)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hodgson is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Hodgson shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Stamkos
Home
49.5% (382)
52.0% (402)
Away
44.4% (430)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Hodgson
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
46.3%
P2
48.9%
52.4%
P3
42.5%
50.2%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |