Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). Look for McCormick on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 50.0% vs Stamkos 49.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.0%
Defensive zone
McCormick 78.9%
Neutral zone
McCormick 57.4%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McCormick
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McCormick
Stamkos
Last 7: McCormick 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
McCormick
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
McCormick
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
1
McCormick
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (196)
48.7% (831)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
53.5% (86)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
69.2% (26)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McCormick is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (128).
McCormick shoots right. Stamkos is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
McCormick
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (161)
52.5% (474)
Away
47.4% (133)
46.9% (469)
By Period
McCormick
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
46.3%
P2
46.7%
52.0%
P3
54.0%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |