Derek MacKenzie vs Steven Stamkos
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 58.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 89.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 86.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
MacKenzie
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
45.6% (1,055)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
46.6% (116)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
42.1% (38)
+6.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
MacKenzie shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Home
56.1% (228)
48.4% (636)
Away
52.7% (201)
42.3% (591)
By Period
MacKenzie
Stamkos
P1
53.4%
45.7%
P2
55.1%
46.8%
P3
53.9%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |