Scouting Report
Jim O'Brien holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Brien wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 48.0% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.6%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 71.9%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 64.0%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
O'Brien
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Brien
Stamkos
Last 6: O'Brien 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
O'Brien
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
1
0
O'Brien
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
0
O'Brien
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
45.6% (1,055)
+3.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
46.6% (116)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (67)
42.1% (38)
+2.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. O'Brien is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
O'Brien shoots right. Stamkos is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (139)
48.4% (636)
Away
47.9% (117)
42.3% (591)
By Period
O'Brien
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
45.7%
P2
46.1%
46.8%
P3
41.9%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |