Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Madden wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 49.6% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Defensive zone
Madden 82.4%
Neutral zone
Madden 78.1%
Result
John Madden favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Madden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Madden
Stamkos
Last 6: Madden 5-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
0
Madden
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (268)
45.6% (1,055)
+4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
46.6% (116)
-46.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
42.1% (38)
+15.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Madden is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Madden shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Madden
Stamkos
Home
52.3% (151)
48.4% (636)
Away
46.9% (162)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Madden
Stamkos
P1
54.9%
45.7%
P2
54.1%
46.8%
P3
40.5%
43.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |