Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Weal wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Stamkos 52.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 61.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 62.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 60.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Weal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Weal
Stamkos
Last 5: Weal 0-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Weal
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Weal
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
52.9% (735)
+2.5%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
53.4% (73)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
53.8% (145)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Weal shoots right. Stamkos is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Weal
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (269)
54.1% (481)
Away
57.3% (330)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Weal
Stamkos
P1
60.9%
50.2%
P2
56.3%
53.4%
P3
49.5%
55.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |