Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Porter wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 42.9% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Porter 88.3%
Defensive zone
Porter 86.9%
Neutral zone
Porter 80.4%
Result
Kevin Porter favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Porter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Porter
Stamkos
Last 10: Porter 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Porter
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
7
Porter
Stamkos
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (240)
48.1% (669)
-8.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
58.2% (110)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
50.0% (40)
-7.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Porter is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Porter shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Porter
Stamkos
Home
41.0% (134)
52.0% (402)
Away
39.4% (137)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Porter
Stamkos
P1
37.3%
46.3%
P2
42.7%
52.4%
P3
40.6%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
40.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |