Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.7% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 68.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 71.2%
Neutral zone
Turris 57.9%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Turris
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Turris
Stamkos
Last 7: Turris 3-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Turris
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (505)
52.9% (735)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
53.4% (73)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
53.8% (145)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Turris is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Turris shoots right. Stamkos is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Turris
Stamkos
Home
52.6% (274)
54.1% (481)
Away
49.1% (279)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Turris
Stamkos
P1
53.0%
50.2%
P2
55.3%
53.4%
P3
42.8%
55.8%
OT
40.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |