Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 85.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 66.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 74.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Wallmark
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Wallmark
Stamkos
Last 8: Wallmark 6-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
3
1
Wallmark
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
54.1% (460)
-3.9%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
64.2% (106)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
45.3% (106)
-2.1%
On power play, Wallmark has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Wallmark is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Wallmark shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Stamkos
Home
48.6% (368)
58.2% (328)
Away
51.9% (385)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Wallmark
Stamkos
P1
49.0%
57.5%
P2
55.0%
53.1%
P3
47.1%
52.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |