Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 60.4%
Defensive zone
Necas 54.2%
Neutral zone
Necas 58.9%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Necas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Necas
Stamkos
Last 5: Necas 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Necas
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
55.3% (628)
-10.8%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
55.1% (216)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
40.2% (87)
+7.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Necas is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Necas shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Necas
Stamkos
Home
44.8% (203)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.3% (214)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Necas
Stamkos
P1
46.8%
50.7%
P2
40.0%
53.8%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
OT
37.5%
87.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |