Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 51.9% vs Stamkos 49.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.1%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 81.9%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 53.8%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Reasoner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Reasoner
Stamkos
Last 5: Reasoner 4-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
4
0
Reasoner
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Reasoner
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (244)
48.1% (669)
+7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
58.2% (110)
+41.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (51)
50.0% (40)
-14.7%
On power play, Reasoner has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Reasoner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Reasoner shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (142)
52.0% (402)
Away
54.8% (157)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Reasoner
Stamkos
P1
49.0%
46.3%
P2
60.0%
52.4%
P3
48.5%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |