Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hendricks wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 52.6% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 78.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 66.4%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Hendricks
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hendricks
Stamkos
Last 9: Hendricks 5-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
1
Hendricks
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Hendricks
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (233)
45.6% (1,055)
+9.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
46.6% (116)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
42.1% (38)
-3.6%
On power play, Hendricks has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hendricks is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Hendricks shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Stamkos
Home
52.8% (142)
48.4% (636)
Away
54.5% (123)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Hendricks
Stamkos
P1
64.9%
45.7%
P2
48.6%
46.8%
P3
49.4%
43.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |