Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Holland wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 46.1% vs Stamkos 49.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.1%
Defensive zone
Holland 82.6%
Neutral zone
Holland 71.0%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Holland
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Holland
Stamkos
Last 7: Holland 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Holland
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
2
0
Holland
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (575)
48.7% (831)
-3.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
53.5% (86)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
69.2% (26)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Holland is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Holland shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Holland
Stamkos
Home
47.2% (373)
52.5% (474)
Away
43.6% (312)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Holland
Stamkos
P1
46.8%
46.3%
P2
47.6%
52.0%
P3
42.5%
51.2%
OT
41.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Peter Holland |