Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 46.2% vs Stamkos 49.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 83.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 58.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 69.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Varone
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Varone
Stamkos
Last 6: Varone 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
1
Varone
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Varone
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
48.7% (831)
-3.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
53.5% (86)
-17.1%
On power play, Stamkos has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Varone shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Varone
Stamkos
Home
44.5% (119)
52.5% (474)
Away
45.4% (207)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Varone
Stamkos
P1
44.5%
46.3%
P2
38.6%
52.0%
P3
53.5%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
36.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Phil Varone |