Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spooner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 46.9% vs Stamkos 49.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 67.4%
Defensive zone
Spooner 53.2%
Neutral zone
Spooner 63.5%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Spooner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Spooner
Stamkos
Last 7: Spooner 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
2
0
Spooner
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Spooner
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Spooner
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (212)
48.7% (831)
-3.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
53.5% (86)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
69.2% (26)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Spooner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Spooner shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Spooner
Stamkos
Home
45.8% (107)
52.5% (474)
Away
45.1% (113)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Spooner
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
46.3%
P2
41.7%
52.0%
P3
44.8%
51.2%
OT
42.9%
43.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | OT | 04:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |